Sunday, January 05, 2020

Hindutva Movement and Muslim Population Growth - II

One can’t help but notice that all the fiasco surrounding Assam NRC disaster is the direct outcome of the exaggerated claims of the Vinod Rai height made by the Hindutvites against the Bangladeshi Muslims. According to the report, out of the 19 lakh illegal immigrants more than 50% are Hindus. This is probably not unknown to Bengalis themselves as I’ve heard one of them making a comment, a few years ago, that more Hindu Bengalis than Muslim Bengalis are migrating to India.

However, it’s undeniable that Muslim percentage in Assamese population shot up in recent decades. What we need is an analysis of this phenomenon. My previous post on this same subject, I mentioned how Hindutva movement turned Muslims further inward looking which resulted in a slower decline in the birthrate. I wonder whether that could be the case in Assam too.

A situation similar to Babri Mosque demolition happened in Assam a decade before that. The Nellie massacre of 1983 supposedly against the non-Assamese but which resulted in the massacre of thousands of Bengali Muslims. Now let us compare birthrates of Bengali Muslims in Bangladesh, West Bengal and Assam.
According to 2011 census:
Bangladesh: 2.3
West Bengal: 2.2
Assam: 3.1

While the Bengali Muslims in Bangladesh and West Bengal show similar birthrates, Assam’s Bengali Muslims have nearly an additional child in each family. What are the social factors responsible for this difference when all belong to the same linguistic/ethnic group? In my opinion, it’s the communalization of Assamese society. I wonder whether this new NRC-CAA lunacy will further slow down the declining Muslim population growth in India.

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